IHPI Special Topics Seminar: The State of the Health Care Debate with Jonathan Cohn
Table of Contents
- We're going to get started there's a little enemy in the back of the room she...
- Supplement their Medicare it was not seen as a broad way of covering most...
- Try to adapt this system rather than blow it up and that evolution eventually...
- The numbers exactly in my head but if I recall they had about thirty thousand...
- There and there are a lot of people like that the flipside is that other family I...
- Because this debate there are a lot of people a lot of limos and Democrats who...
00:00
we're going to get started there's a
little enemy in the back of the room she
doesn't move your way up front and sit
down we want to go and let our
presenters get sorry fell off stuff to
talk about something talking about
happening in the last five minutes just
looking over there providing this pulpit
great happy hour here today is dozen
columns he's a senior national
correspondent in Hopkinton quote he
00:31
writes about politician policy with a
focus on social welfare he's also the
author of 60 untold story of America's
health care crisis and the people pay
the price
Johnson work particularly the New
Republic and American Prospect and
encrypt from the Atlantic York Times
Magazine and self other publications
this journalism is one of awards and the
Sidney Hillman foundation that
Association of healthcare journalists
world hunger here and the national
musical of the caucus he's a graduate of
Harvard a phone call with emails and
Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation and a
01:02
member of the National Peggy Social
Insurance his other green to fame is
that he is married to IH bi leadership
team member in homes of humane over Amy
is the type of research centers go to
FBI called chest which is the center for
healthcare engineering and patient
safety and time chefs and Amy oldest
organized list so we appreciate that
collaboration one last comment before I
turn it over to Dobbin is that if you're
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tweeting about this event we'd like you
to include hashtag iep/ifsp and
thank you thank you well this is
different so yeah you know usually when
you agree to give an academic talk the
great virtue is that it's a chance to
get out of the daily bustle take a nice
pause to see the big picture not to get
too caught up in the new cycle and I am
literally telling it as not making this
up when I say that what would Caroline
02:12
just said I was literally rewriting
parts of what I'm going to tell you
because between the time when I got in
my car an hour ago to pick up where's
Peter here's Peter of my 13 year old and
dropped him off with his mom his mom hi
sweetie
the story changed and then changed again
and I'm fairly certain it's going to be
different by the time least the politics
of healthcare that by the time I'm done
with this talk it will be different than
when I start so I would urge none of you
to to to to treat anything I'm about to
02:43
say that seriously well maybe I should
rephrase that
Joanne just assumed is going to be a
permanent state of condition also if I
found those who know me I tend to talk a
little fast I'm a little twitchy I'm
talking a little more quickly and a
little touch here because I've had seven
cups of coffee so 7:00 a.m. and you can
vouch for that or actually you can't you
only were there for the first four okay
so where are we um we are at a very
important moment again literally in
American health care and I don't
actually think I'm exaggerating when I
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say that the next 12 24 48 hours could
have like a profound impact on the
direction of our healthcare system
because we are about there's a bill that
the Senate is taking up the Mitch
McConnell walk out of his office a few
minutes ago and said yes they're going
to vote on it next week and how that
vote goes depends a lot on how people
react to a new version of it they came
out this morning and having watched this
play out before in Congress I can tell
you that sometimes these things are very
closely run of affairs and it could go
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either way and it's entirely possible
that you know one senator declaring I'm
for this to be what it takes to push it
over the edge and kind of create a
stampede of support or one
senator going against it could have the
opposite effect and cause the bill
that's before Congress to fall apart so
it's really a very very critical time
and really enormous stakes so the title
of my talk I think is the state of the
health care debate we should call it the
changing state or the uncertain state
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but because that's what we're talking
about I need to give a little history
but I'm going to do it super quickly
because I know some of you know it
already and the more important question
is where we're going from here but you
can't really understand where we're
going you can't understand the debate
and what's up for what conversation if
you don't know how we got here so let's
start with we're going to do healthcare
economics as quickly as possible and
there are two central facts of
healthcare economics that everybody
should know and you may know this
intuitively you may not but the first
one is that health care is really
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expensive really really expensive you
get sick if you get injured if you have
a chronic condition the cost of that
medical care is going to be more than
almost any single individual and I'm
willing to bet every more than any
individual sitting in this audience
right now can actually afford on their
own in other words we didn't have health
insurance and we were asking every
person in this room to pay for their own
medical care on an ala carte basis and
any of you got sick seriously and if you
seriously injured yourself and if you
had a chronic condition you would be
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wiped out financially you would be
bankrupt and it would basically be a
question of do you skip your medical
care or do you not pay your rent and
that's what we're talking about that is
a fact of life that's because medical
care is very expensive it has been that
way since the 1920s which is when our
modern insurance system began but it's
obviously gotten much worse over time so
that's the first guy you need to know
the second fact is that the distribution
of medical spending is highly uneven now
I just was explaining how expensive
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medical care is right the fact matter is
at any given time you know in this room
for example guess where we go about 60
people here maybe is that seem like a
good guess someone who's good with
numbers is look like about 60 people
here all right so what's 20% of 60
that's 12 so guys all right yeah that's
right okay
so they give you know this moment is
probably about 12 people in this room
who are largely responsible for almost
all the medical spending at this time in
this room that's because at any given
time most people are no typically good
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health most people don't need a lot of
medical care but for those 12 people
it's very extreme and so the question
the sort of central challenge of medical
care of medical care financing is always
what do you do how do you get those
people the care they need whether it's
the routine care going to the
pediatrician getting the routine tests
getting care for chronic conditions or
emergency care heart attack cancer
injury what have you and the secret is
always some kind of insurance
arrangement you want to spread that risk
again because unless your name is Bill
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Gates or will just stick with Bill Gates
unless your name is Bill Gates you
really can't afford that out of your own
pocket so getting groups of people
together to contribute into a common
pool to pay that cash that's the way you
do it that is the best way to pay for
medical care is the way is done
everywhere in the world
now when I say everywhere in the world
is an important little asterisk on that
which is that every other developed
country in the world decided a long time
ago decades ago that the for their
purpose is what they thought the best
way to do it was was to get everybody
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pooled together you live in the country
you're part of it so you live in England
everyone in England's going to pay into
this one pool you live in France
everyone in France because it's Japan
same thing wherever you go on the
velcroed everybody pays into one common
insurance pool so everybody is sharing
and because everybody is in this one
group the the government has to sort of
administer this to everybody and the
government has certain power right so
the government says all right we're
going to make sure that everyone has
insurance and we're going to dictate
what that insurance looks like we
different countries do it differently
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some countries let people pick different
levels of coverage some countries let
you actually pick from private insurance
providers who are reimbursed by the
government but one way or another
government's basically defining a basic
set of benefits that everyone's going to
get the government's going to pay for
this is going to raise taxes and might
you might contribute with premiums
separately but basically one way or
another
same way you pay income tax today pay
for the fire department you pay for the
schools you pay for national health
insurance now like it's expensive
obviously remember
how expensive healthcare gets so the
government takes it upon itself to
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regulate prices set budget and so if you
are in Germany or Sweden or any of these
other countries and you are a provider
of medical care you're a doctor you're a
hospital you're drug maker one way or
another you are not just dictating
you're not just putting a price tag out
there you are dealing with the
government or a government intermediary
who is either bargaining with you or
just dictating to you this is what
you're going to make this is per service
is how you're going to get paid and
that's the character basic broad
characteristics of all of these other
countries we here in the United States
did not do that and there's a long very
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interesting historical story which when
I first thought I was going to give him
the speech I was going to spend half the
time telling you I'm not going to do
that you can read it in the bookstore
you can find a video of a speak lecture
I gave last year when I did that but
basically the stories we did not end up
with that kind of system instead we
ended up with a very different kind of
system we have a fragmented system the
assumption is that most non-elderly
adults will get private health insurance
and they will be responsible for getting
it on their own and for most people
that'll mean getting it through an
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employer go to a job you Center for the
job the job says here you can have
insurance through us we're a nice big
group we can buy insurance together get
that nice little pooling arrangement
where you go through your spouse you
know maybe let's say you just
hypothetical example you work for a
publication that's based in New York but
your wife's a professor at the
University of Michigan gosh you know
spitballing here you know then that
might be how you get your health
insurance it's pretty good health
insurance University of Michigan - by
the way and that's now I'm not getting
paid for this that's not like a message
from their sponsor or anything so that
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takes care of most of the non-elderly
population now along the way that that's
how that system grew up out of World War
two and various reasons why it kind of
became popular there as policy decisions
encouraged it but you know what spared
by the 1960s going to leave a lot of
people out the most obvious group was
the elderly because they're not working
anymore if you're not working how you
gonna get insurance through a job right
so we created Medicare which covers
everybody who's over 65 which covers
hospitals and covers doctors description
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drug benefits were added about 15 years
ago for
years ago 13 years ago a little more
than a decade ago and that covered the
elderly we added a program called
Medicaid in the nineteen sixties at the
same time we did Medicare in recognition
there were some people who couldn't get
health insurance because they don't have
enough money although Medicaid at that
time was limited
it was strictly limited to children
pregnant women young mothers disabled
the elderly who could use it to
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supplement their Medicare it was not
seen as a broad way of covering most
low-income Americans it was therefore
sort of spot duty on what society at
that point considered the most deserving
of the poor and that how our system grew
up now they're missing from these groups
were people who were working age didn't
fall into one of those categories for
Medicaid and had to get insurance on
their own to buy insurance on their own
and and in general a lot of them
couldn't get insurance there were two
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reasons for that what was a lot of them
just couldn't pay for it again insurance
is very expensive to give you a sense of
today most people today have no idea
what health insurance actually cost
because it gets through an employer and
your employer pays most of it so you
don't realize you know how much you're
paying for it but you know a couple
thousand dollars a year first a single
person's policy is totally typical if
you're making $20,000 a year
finding $4,000 to pay for health
insurance policy is pretty much not
possible to do so I'll be able to get
insurance because they couldn't afford
it but there was a whole second problem
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which is that the insurance market for
people who weren't part of employers was
run very differently than the part that
was run for employers and the following
reason insurers discovered very early on
if they went around selling insurance
policies to everybody one on one the
only people who bought them were people
who expected to get sick which makes
sense right I mean if I tell you you're
going to buy insurance you can take it
you can leave it if you know you have oh
you know I you know I'm prone to a high
blood pressure or there's a history
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thing on my family or gee you know I'm a
cancer survivor you're going to want to
buy that insurance you want to pay a lot
of money for it cuz you figure there's a
really good chance you're going to need
it but you're 25 you've never had
anything beyond strep throat you're
thinking do I really want to pay $4,000
for insurer
you're probably not going to and so
insurance companies we get this
situation where they go from person to
person they'd only get people who were
relatively high risk came very expensive
to maintain those policies and so to
ward off that problem which is known as
an adverse selection
they started the practice known as
medical underwriting they would sort of
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screen you are you you know are you
high-risk
what's your medical history all that and
if they decided you are at risk of
generating high medical bills they would
charge you more money that would
withhold your benefits or they would
deny you coverage altogether
in addition insurance had total leeway
in most states to sort of vary what they
actually offered you so you know they
would sell you a policy but it's not
clear the policy would cover everything
in general when you get a employer
policy you can be reasonably confident
it will cover most of the things you
need there might be arguments about
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experimental therapies there might be
you know as you get into sort of
intensive treatment you might get
arguments over whether this specialty
visit or this drug but in general you
knew that would cover the sort of wide
variety of services when you were buying
coverage on your own in the old days it
was very common to buy policies only to
discover that wait a minute there's like
no mental health benefits or a very
limited one or it didn't cover certain
tiers of prescription drugs habilitative
services was another common thing left
off and of course maternity care was
left off that was one insurance
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companies very commonly left off because
you know that was something they found
if they sold policies with eternity what
they got was an unusually large number
of people in their 20s and 30s
particularly women and they ended up
having to pay out maternity and you know
it's not a value judgment on the
insurers to say that from an economic
standpoint they couldn't make it work
and that's the sort of problem though
nature of the way this insurance market
works so that was the situation we found
ourselves in in the 70s and 80s when
around that time American health care
started to get much more expensive than
it had ever been before
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employers are struggling to pay for
people paying on their owner struggling
and we see the number of people without
health insurance in this country
starting to rise which was a reversal
over you know from the 1920s up to about
the 1970s there was a steady increase in
coverage I mean we didn't have universal
coverage like they did abroad but you
know we were kind of inching our way
towards there is a
around the 70s that progress turns
around easy to start to fall off and
that's beginning of this long discussion
of well what are we going to do about
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health care what can we do both to get
more people access but also what can we
do to control the cost of care so it's
not quite so expensive as it's been
before you know what can we do about the
overall burden this is placing not just
on individuals but on employers on
society as a whole this discussion kind
of went along and you know one idea was
that the private sector just kind of
absorb this do it itself you know the
employers would find ways to make their
policies less expensive and that
actually they they had some success this
15:37
was the era when they introduced managed
care which if you're young the idea that
you're have a network of providers
probably seems pretty normal most people
today you have an insurance right you'd
know to check your network to see oh is
the doctor I want to see if I need to
specialist that doctor on my network 20
years ago that was like a new thing and
people were very you know not used to
that and in fact it was very
controversial unto this day you know
there's a lot of controversy over the
extent to which our insurance companies
using this to hold down costs are they
using this to limit access to care but
that was you know that was one of the
16:08
ways insurance companies figured out to
lower cost in other words the sort of
shift more cost on to the individual was
figured out very early on that if you
ask people to pay a greater share of
their medical costs they're going to use
less them right that's kind of intuitive
so if I tell you you know I'm going to
you can you know that a doctor visit is
ten dollars and you kind of have a bit
of an ache in pain the theory as well
you know why not it right and go to
doctor ten bucks no big deal I tell you
it's a hundred dollars then you might
think oh do I really need to maybe I can
sort of you know maybe I can kind of put
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up with this or maybe you say well yeah
I'm gonna doctor but I'm going to try to
find a cheaper doctor as cheaper fees
now doing that has an upside and a
downside it does mean people will tend
to spend less which is what made
employers happy and made sure is happy
the catch is a lot of times people will
skip care they need I mean it from a
health care standpoint I don't know how
many of you are public health people as
opposed to economists public health
people and economists and have very
different views on this particular
question you'll discover doctor an
economist is like yeah you know you know
we need more want more more cost sharing
17:10
more out-of-pocket costs and encourages
cost
discipline and the public health people
are always there waving their hand
saying excuse me excuse me public health
person here yeah it's real nice that
people are like you know not spending as
much on their health care but we noticed
that when people don't get their health
care like the things they don't get
include like their high blood pressure
medication which is like really bad for
them and then they end up in the
emergency room with a heart attack and
not only is that bad to them but also a
cost for - maybe this isn't such a good
idea
and this is one of those debates that
goes on and on and on but anyway that's
how the private sector dealt with this
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problem well eventually Bill Clinton was
president he can okay he and his wife
Hillary Clinton came up with a plan that
was designed to deal with all this it
didn't pass but the gist of it was it
was an attempt by the Democratic Party
to say all right we want to get to
universal health care but you know we've
been kind of bang in our head against
this since the 1940s and we can't seem
to pass anything and part of the reason
is that you know trying to create what
they have over in Europe kind of a what
would be long people would call a
single-payer system but some kind of
really centrally run national healthcare
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system this is hard to do in this
country politically a single-payer
system and national health insurance
system like the kind I was describing at
the beginning that would be a pretty
radical change from what we have today
and it would really change the incomes
hospitals drug makers and doctors and
you know you may not have noticed this
if you don't pay a lot of attention to
politics but it turns out that like the
drug companies actually have a little
more power than most people in
Washington just you know who knew right
so drug companies hospitals and they
18:44
they like if you like say you're going
to take away some of their income they
get kind of angry and they start calling
members of Congress and saying hey guess
what we heard you might want to cut our
income and that's fine we're really
totally totally a hundred percent okay
with that by the way we're writing these
really big checks whoever's going to run
against you in the next election and
members of Congress kind of tend to
think twice about that kind of stuff so
you know the lobbying power of these
interests has made it very hard to pass
something else in addition that there's
19:14
a lobbying group called the American
public and you know if you wanted to
propose to create a European system like
system here it's something in will
deserve if you ask a poll question
and and and and and people do all the
time do you think we should have a
single-payer system which the government
just give Medicare to everybody it pulls
off the chart
everybody likes that because everybody
likes Medicare and by the way on paper I
will tell you I've been to these other
countries they are great systems there
is a totally authentic intellectually
honest evidence-based case that those
19:46
countries are getting much better health
care for much less money than we here in
the United States are however that whole
question does not capture the full
extent of public opinion because the
next part of that conversation becomes
great we're going to give everybody
Medicare hey by the way you with the
nice insurance from the University of
Michigan that's not going to be your
insurance anymore
you're going to get and all a sudden
everyone it would employer insurance
starts to get twitchy and then you start
to see ads on TV and that's not to say
you couldn't do it here but the point is
that feelings are very complicated and
20:17
attempting to sort of change the system
over runs into a lot of political
resistance it's also difficult from a
policy standpoint because every part of
our health care ecosystem is built on
the assumption that the reimbursement
system will look like it does today
they're used to getting paid the way
they are paid now and at a level they
are paid now if you look at single-payer
health insurance systems government-run
insurance systems there's a myth out
there that the biggest reason they say
that that we are health care is so
expensive is because of the
20:47
administrative waste that's a part of it
for sure and actually again a having
spent time over there that I think the
best advertisement for single-payer is
to go talk to a doctor in France I did
this once I remember I was interviewing
this very prominent physician in Paris
and like I walked in the off and there
was like no staff there and I'm like
what's up with this you know you're like
this prominent doctor there's like to
have like a part-time receptionist so
like yeah I don't why would I have other
people Michael don't have to do billing
like like what's that
you know I mean it's so easy we have all
this overhead here however there's a
21:19
saying that every dollar of waste and
health care is also someone else's
income that money is the whole our whole
ecosystem our whole healthcare ecosystem
is key to these large fees so the real
reason those systems abroad saves so
much money is that they set these really
low they tell doctors like I was
big Guinea here's how much you're going
to make they tell the hospitals here's
how much you're going to make they
dictate to the drug prices drug drug
companies this is how much you're going
to make and that adjustment from where
they are there to where you'd want to go
it's pretty big it's a hard hard
21:52
transition to make quickly something you
can do over time but not easy to do
quickly so recognizing all that Democrat
the powers that be in the Democratic
Party for better or for worse not for me
to say but you know they made a
strategic decision roughly in the
nineteen eighty ninety so that all right
we're not going to try to just tear down
the whole system as it exists our goal
is going to be get to get the universal
coverage maybe give the government more
power like they have overseas but
nevertheless to kind of work within the
constraints of what we have already and
22:24
try to adapt this system rather than
blow it up and that evolution eventually
kind of filtered through down to what
became the Affordable Care Act which
became law in 2010 after a long fight
and and really became fully implemented
in 2014 and the approach of the ACA I
assume you guys are reasonably familiar
with it but just to do a quick review
again the idea was to leave Medicare
largely in place there were a lot of
changes in the way Medicare would pay
for services and the way the government
22:55
would pay providers in Medicare but
there are no changes to the benefits and
it was done fairly carefully in a way
designed so that the people who are on
Medicare wouldn't really notice these
changes in fact probably if you asked
someone who is on Medicare how did the
Affordable Care Act change your
insurance the answers they probably
don't know but if they did notice the
one change that probably notes was the
prescription drug bills went down
because the ACA added money to help them
pay for prescription drugs there was a
23:26
so-called doughnut hole in the
prescription drug benefit of Medicare
and the Affordable Care Act helped close
that so from the standpoint of that
beneficiary at least Medicare really
didn't change much sort of the same for
employer insurance there's a little bit
of a wrinkle there because the
Affordable Care Act did call for
changing the tax treatment of employer
benefits and that sound
really wonky but basically one of the
reasons we have an employer system as
strong as we do is that the government
gives extra tax breaks for it and
starting with the Affordable Care Act
they limited that tax break and this is
23:58
one of those things that everybody hates
except economists everyone thinks
everyone no one wants to mess with that
tax break except for economists on left
and right because economists are in like
unanimous agreement doesn't matter if
they're liberal or conservative that
that tax break ends up giving you
incentive to get more generous insurance
than you probably really want to get and
that's money that comes out of your
wages and we're all better off if you
don't get that tax break which you know
if you're an economist makes total sense
and if you're like not an economist
you're like wait aren't you just giving
me less generous health insurance and
24:28
you know one of these debates that goes
back to the affordable character that
but other than that it didn't do much to
change employer insurance except it did
add a few consumer protections for
example it eliminated lifetime and
annual limits on benefits which is one
of those things that probably quite
possibly quite probably nobody in this
room or at most one or two people in
this room will ever matter to them
because very very few people have health
care bills big enough to exceed an
annual or a lifetime limit on health
insurance thing is for that one or two
24:58
people pretty big deal you know we're
talking children born with serious birth
defects they will need a lifetime of
care we're talking about there's a woman
I interviewed and wrote about a couple
months ago out in California who has an
aggressive rare form of cancer
she blew through a million bucks after
about four or five months of treatment
and for these people people like that
there's not many of them I mean there
really not many of them but for that
small class of people having an annual
or lifetime limit it is the ability it's
25:30
deserting being able to pay for your
medical care and not full stop so that
but those are the only changes to
employer insurance those are the only
changes to Medicare you'll notice that I
just described the two parts of the
health care system that are probably the
most popular maybe you ask people what
works on our health care system let's go
say well like my employer insurance I'm
glad Medicare is there and actually
Affordable Care Act doesn't do that much
to them certainly not a lot of visible
changes and even the invisible changes
are smaller and kind of operating in the
background where the ACA really did a
lot of work was into
whether areas the first is Medicaid
26:02
remember I said that when Medicaid was
founded it really applied to sort of
very narrow groups now over the years
various it was expanded and various
States took advantage of opportunities
to expand it more particularly what you
would call the blue state places like
Massachusetts California Minnesota and
they would tend to expand Medicaid to
cover more services and more groups
partly because there was a greater need
again as remember we were talking about
how health insurance was deteriorating
employer insurance getting more
expensive there more and more people
26:32
going uninsured in more more states
showing up in the emergency room they're
getting uncompensated care because an
emergency room has to they don't have to
give you like full diagnostic I mean if
you show up at the hospital they don't
have to give you like a whole graph of
services but if you need emergency
stabilizing care they do have to give
you that and that cost the hospital's
money so that money would eventually end
up costing the state so states gradually
started expanding Medicaid programs on
their own but it's very piecemeal and
only in a couple states the ACA said
look Medicaid is a comprehensive
insurance policy it's dirt cheap for the
27:03
people who have it because there's
almost no cost sharing you have Medicaid
you pay at most token amounts of money
for doctor visits and prescriptions on
the theory that you're talking with
people who are at or just below the
poverty line I mean these are people who
can't pay rent can't pay food so you
know there's something I could be able
to pay for medical care so it's cheap
for the beneficiaries also turns out to
be very cheap to run for person now
there's a reason for that many K doesn't
pay a lot to hospitals and doctors per
person and this is one of its problems
27:34
is that if you need to get a specialist
on Medicaid it can be a little difficult
because specialist physicians won't want
to take it because it doesn't pay a lot
but you know overall the evidence on
Medicaid is that it's very cheap to run
it provides good cost protection to the
people get it it does seem to provide
better health although the evidence on
that is mixed up so we want to ask me a
fun question we can go down the rabbit
hole of the oregon health insurance
experiment at least four of you are
nodding so you know what I'm talking
about but you know this is when you get
really into fun wonky conversations that
eight ten to the rumor to be like what
are you talking about in 2/10 we'll be
28:05
like totally invested in but we'll get
to that later
so they expanded Medicaid medios we're
just gonna give them it give States
money so they can make
decade available to anybody in a
household that is at the poverty line or
even a little bit above the poverty line
and if I was really good at this I'd
have those figures memorized what 133
percent of the poverty line is I don't
remember offhand but like well I think
like 29,000 for a family of three I have
to check that anyway
it's poverty line just above it you
28:36
could qualify for Medicaid as long as
your state opted in that was the key
thing originally was assumed every state
would opt in the Supreme Court has done
decision that gave States more leeway
not to do it so today thirty-one states
plus the District of Columbia have
expanded their Medicaid you're sitting
in one of them by the way Michigan is a
Medicaid expansion state one of the 31
and then there's this question of the
private health insurance market for
people who don't get coverage from their
employees and it's a funny thing because
this is a small portion of the
29:08
population and yet I would say and even
don't at most you think about the number
of people directly affected by the
Affordable Care Act including the
Medicaid expansion including other
provisions it's probably about a third
to two you know between thirty and forty
percent of the people are the ones
affected by this it's just not that it's
important for sure but it's not like the
single biggest drain yet when you think
about most of what you've read about the
Affordable Care Act I guarantee you 80%
of its about this set of changes I'm
29:39
talking about the exchanges the
individual mandate the subsidies and
they get all the coverage and I just say
that to remind you all that when we're
talking about possible changes to this
law this is a very very important but
it's also just one part now here's where
things got very complicated the theory
and who knows what happened if you're
familiar with the three legged stool
just I don't obviously know the mandates
plus subsidies plus regulations if you
know it raise your hand all right we'll
do a little review for you guys but I'll
30:10
do it quickly so there if you want to
give insurance to everybody you want to
get everyone into one big pool like I do
in Europe obviously you could just have
the government give everyone insurance
which again is what Europe did is what
Medicare does for the elderly if you
don't want to do that if you want to
provide rely on
health insurance you can do that too
that's an alternative but it's
complicated you need to start with the
fact that okay remember we said
insurance companies were denying
coverage to people with pre-existing
conditions they were not always selling
benefits that plans that had all the
benefits the prices were all over the
place you have to tell insurance
30:42
companies can't do that anymore now on
you sell to everybody regardless of
pre-existing conditions you don't vary
the prices based on medical status we'll
let you charge a little more to older
people a little less than younger people
but you can't like varium by more than a
ratio of three to one and every plan
that you sell has to have ten essential
benefits and yes that includes mental
health yes that includes maternity care
plus prescriptions and hospitalization
and all that stuff and you have to do
all those things so you're basically
dictating to the insurance companies you
31:14
can no longer practice business the way
you did up until 2014 now the insurance
companies are ok with this in principle
they say said alright you know that's a
different business model but we know how
to do that but we got a problem if you
just tell us to do that we're going to
run through the whole thing we're people
you if we tell anybody hey you can get
insurance even if you're sick what's
everyone going to do they're going to
wait till they get sick before they get
insurance insurance companies won't have
a way to make money and say if you're
going to do that you got to make sure
everyone gets insurance you got to have
a mandate an individual requirement and
31:46
so the decision was made that the way to
do this was to penalize people say if
you don't buy insurance that was
available to you have to pay a fee to
the government that's the individual
mandate which you know was the subject
of a very big Supreme Court case it's
been very controversial and I think it's
safe to say has been the single most
unpopular part of the Affordable Care
Act this requirement so there's that now
you impose the mandate you have the
regulations on insurance companies and
now you're sort of running up the
prominently mint you're going to require
people to get health insurance well wait
a minute let's say we have a family
would like making thirty thousand
32:17
dollars a year as a family so a policy
for them today is what $14,000 you're
going to go out and tell this family
they have to pay fourteen thousand
dollars for an insurance policies that's
going to have six thousand dollars in
out-of-pocket spending and they make
three that's more than half their income
you're asking them to pay on health care
I mean that's that's crazy so
said alright there's a third stole the
first leg was the regulations the second
is the individual mandate the third is
the subsidies government says alright if
we're going to make you get insurance
we're going to have to help a lot of
people pay for it we're going to have to
32:49
offer tax credits so they fit up the
system where if your income is below
four times the poverty line for hundreds
on the part line which for a family of
four is about a hundred thousand dollars
so we're pretty high up into the income
scale now well into what most people
would consider middle-class your income
is below that income then you are
eligible for tax credits that will make
your premiums will be a discount on your
premiums the discount gets bigger the
less money you have so in effect there's
like a fixed percentage of your income
you could have to spend on your health
33:19
insurance premiums and then as you get
lower into them you can kind of lower
kind of closer what most people call
working class lower middle class working
poor in that range they actually the
government's going to throw a little
extra money there and say now they were
going to help you with your premiums but
we're going to give the insurance
companies money so they can give you
special posit had very small
out-of-pocket spending so to give you an
example there was a family I wrote about
a couple of months ago in North Carolina
two parents and a young child don't have
33:51
the numbers exactly in my head but if I
recall they had about thirty thousand
dollars of income they wife was
part-time working part-time in school
the husband had used to have a job at a
lab and was laid off and was sort of
juggling jobs between GrubHub and
Starbucks their family income was about
thirty thousand dollars there just a
little too much money to qualify for
Medicaid plus they're in a state that
had an expanded Medicaid but because of
the Affordable Care Act tax credits they
will get insurance for about between a
thousand two thousand dollars a year in
34:21
premiums and they would oh no more than
a thousand dollars in out-of-pocket
costs now that's roughly two to three
thousand dollars a year in medical
expenses thirty thousand dollars in
income that's still tough don't kid
yourself but they could afford it and
they had actually so happens all three
members of family had at least one
serious medical problem so for them
three thousand dollars rather than their
what all their disposal income obviously
it was an improvement so that was how
the Affordable Care Act was designed to
work
I came online in 2014 and how to do well
34:53
if you want the positive side of the
ledger we have the lowest recorded
number of people without health
insurance today the number of uninsured
plummeted which is what was predicted
the CBO had predicted it would get down
to about I mean there's different I hate
to throw numbers out there because
everybody uses a different baseline but
what you need to know is that we
basically cut the number of uninsured in
half maybe a little better and it's
pretty close to what the original
projections suggested from the
Congressional Budget Office from
independent analysts the sources of
coverage are different than everyone
35:24
expected more people ended up getting
coverage from Medicaid less through
these private insurance policies but
roughly speaking you got lowest number
of uninsured in modern times and we have
a lot of data to show that people have
better access to health care as a result
that they have more financial protection
and there's some data against just
people are healthy others although
that's pretty ambiguous certainly in
real time and that's just a hard thing
to measure and I always try to be
careful in sort of saying us that would
be the sort of upside people would say
the downside you've got a lot of people
now paying for insurance that they think
35:55
on the private insurance side in
particular would say wait a minute these
policies you know they're pretty skimpy
I'm looking at three four six thousand
dollars in out-of-pocket costs on top of
thousands of dollars in premiums yeah I
make $50,000 a year I'm a family of
three but you know what $50,000 for a
family of three income that's not that
much money and I you know I got a kids
heading off to college in a couple years
I got car payments this is not easy so
you have a lot of people who feel like
the insurance is more than they can
afford that has had a secondary effect
of making the markets more unstable in
36:28
places because at some point some of
these people making 5060 thousand
dollars a year and saying you know what
I'm gonna buy insurance and who tends
not to buy insurance people who are in
good health now the insurance companies
aren't getting enough healthy bill they
have to jack up rates and you get into
this cycle where they they keep raising
their rates and someone have to leave
the states for their and you've probably
heard you've probably read that you know
there are states with only a lot of
places only one insurer there's a few
counties around the country where there
are no insurers now reality it's a very
mixed picture if you go to California
actually here in Michigan the markets
36:59
are actually working pretty well and
most people have multiple choices of
insurance they're relatively cheap
most people let's go to Arizona you go
to Tennessee gov North Carolina but the
costs are really high and then
particularly in rural areas you are
lucky to have one insurance it's a real
you know I think even defenders of the
law would agree this is a weakness that
needs to be addressed and that is sort
of the state of the program as we enter
this political moment which is where we
are now now today literally we are in
37:31
the middle of a debate over whether to
repeal the Affordable Care Act and then
replace it with something and that
something keeps changing I'm tempted to
look at my phone and see if it's changed
in the last 20 minutes and and is
important understand that the arguments
against the Affordable Care Act
arguments for repeal a lot of our
grounded and long-standing critiques
from conservatives not just of the
Affordable Care Act but of Medicare and
Medicaid and reasons that conservatives
38:03
and don't let think these plans are
causing problems for the United States
and I would say they are sort of you
know broadly speaking part of the
classic ideological debate we've been
having this country since the invention
of the modern welfare state in the early
20th century there is a concern that
number one these programs are expensive
and getting more expensive and adding an
ever less sustainable of system evermore
unsustainable ever less sustainable was
it this what I do all day I sit and I
sit in front my career is it better to
say less unsustainable more sustainable
38:34
welcome to my world
you know in ever-larger
there that's different ever larger
burden on the federal budget and that
money's got to come from somewhere
either we're paying taxes for it we're
cutting spending elsewhere we're
tolerating higher deficits with
obviously has its own effects that is a
burden that needs to be met some way
somehow there is a sense that these
programs don't always work so well that
at best they introduce weird incentives
into the health care system encouraging
more spending in other words they're
39:05
just wasteful I mean Google Medicare
fraud Google Medicaid fraud you'll find
you know all kinds of examples and there
is a you know a sense a philosophical
sense also that you know
maybe it's not right to ask people who
are healthy or younger to pay extra
because because there are people who
have higher medical bills maybe that's
not the right way to do it and there's a
philosophical question there as well
like to what extent should we ask
younger healthier people to pay more the
39:35
bills coming forward now from the
Republicans are consistent with that
views those views and if you look at the
bills I'm going to not you know as you
may know the House passed a bill a
couple whit months weeks ago now the
sentence I'm just going to talk about
the Senate bill because everybody I
talked to everyone here basically says
if the Senate passes a bill the house
will just pass that straight the House
bill was there to give the House Senate
something to rewrite and now the Senate
is going to write it and it's not a
given but is unlikely the house will try
40:06
to actually change it much so what's in
the Senate bill Senate bill number one
it tries to undo those reforms of the
private market and here's where things
really are like up to the minute changes
so the bill that was introduced about
two weeks ago offered less financial
assistance basically said yeah we're
going to continue to offer people
subsidies to help pay for the coverage
but it can be less of money and the
assumption is that people will take this
and buy skimpier insurance so
out-of-pocket costs deductibles co-pays
they were high today
40:38
some people think they're too high they
would actually on average tend to get
higher in the new bill because people
have less money and the assumption is
we've given less financial assistance to
buy insurance they would end up buying a
less generous policy so today you were
buying a silver policy that would be
expected to cover 70% of your medical
costs tomorrow you'd be expected to buy
one that covers only 58% of your medical
costs and that's probably the difference
between a policy that has a five you
know four thousand dollar deductible in
the seven thousand dollar dr. bull or a
six thousand dollar deductible and a
higher deductible and higher co-pays but
41:09
one way or another you're paying more
and out-of-pocket costs at the same time
there was an effort to reduce the
regulations on the insurance and here's
where things change today whereas the
new version of the bill includes an
amendment that would basically light
insurers in a kind of roundabout way
which I can explain if you really want
me to undo a lot of those so a lot of
those new
protection so no longer would they
always be required to give people
insurance regardless of pre-existing
condition no longer would they be
required to make sure everyone can get a
policy with full essential health
41:39
benefits no longer would they be
required that every policy had an annual
or lifetime limit the wrinkle here is
that every insurer would have to offer
such a policy still but the way the
market would evolve it would become you
would no longer be guaranteed access to
that and it's complicated to explain it
I'm simplifying a bit but just trust me
where you can wait three hours and read
online at HuffPost where my article will
pose that explains all the all the
details the unmedicated ills would
basically pull back the extra federal
funding that allowed states to expand
42:10
their Medicaid programs so remember we
talked about expanding it up to 100 you
know up to everybody in households with
a at or just above the poverty line
that's because the federal government
puts up extra money because states that
you know a bargain says look if you
expand it will give you extra money and
the Senate bill basically says nope you
know as of 2020 we're going to start to
call that money back until it's not
there anymore and then on top of that
the bill basically says going forward
we're going to just change the way the
federal government funds Medicaid all
together today Medicaid is an open-ended
42:41
commitment to basically cover as many
people as qualify for the program no
matter how much they cover at a fixed
percentage of costs so if you're Ohio
who you're Ohio and your costs go up the
federal government will pay extra to
match it as long as you're conforming to
the rules of the program under the new
system that relationship would be broken
there are various options for house 2
different ways States could do this but
one way or another that open-ended
commitment would end and the projections
suggest that given the formulas that the
Senate bill has you would see this
43:11
shortfall develop between what states
would need to maintain their current
benefits and what they'd be getting from
Washington and one way or another they
would end up cutting their Medicaid
programs now there is an upside to all
this and there's a downside to all this
all just like there was an upside to the
Affordable Care Act and there was a
downside to Affordable Care Act for were
cracks extent expanded health insurance
offerings right made it available to
more people it's gotten more people
health insurance but also increased
government spending which means a higher
tax burden at some point some way or
another introduced market regulations
43:42
that a lot of people think are bad for
the economy it made some healthy people
have to pay more
what would this Senate bill well in the
Senate bill actually some of the people
who you know if you think of winners and
losers some of the losers under the
Affordable Care Act would get that back
you would see people who are young and
healthy people would be able to get
cheaper skimpier policies kind of like
they did in the old days which for them
you know they might think it's
absolutely a big win I mean if you're 25
years old you don't want to have to pay
for a maternity care maybe you think
it's you know it's not you're not you
shouldn't have to pay for mental health
44:13
care you know and you could get a much
cheaper policy government spending will
come down the tax burden would come down
the flipside is that you know you to
actually lose the protections and the
benefits before will correct - you
wouldn't see that you something like 20
million people are going to lose health
insurance that's going to mean more
financial distress less access to health
care etc the Medicaid cuts in particular
states are almost certainly going to
have to pull back and just give you an
example of what that would you know two
examples of what that would mean you
44:45
know if you think about how this all
works out I mentioned you know that
family in North Carolina that's
dependent on the ACA that story actually
also wrote about a family in North
Carolina that's paying a lot more for
their health insurance today because of
the ACA they probably end up saving
money under the Senate bill did you know
they were they're a little more affluent
they're in relatively good health
they're probably happy with a they don't
feel like they need all these expansive
benefits for them the Senate bill is
probably a net plus financially at least
in the near future
you know as long as they don't get sick
45:16
there and there are a lot of people like
that the flipside is that other family I
described the one that's getting those
subsidies they probably end up with no
insurance at all and they have like I
said a series of serious medical
problems and they're going to be stuck
and that's the trade-off I mean you can
help one group but you're going to hurt
another group there's always trade-offs
in health policy and so you know the
question if you sort want to think of
the big picture and already went longer
than I wanted to want to wrap this up
but you know the simplest way to think
about this I always think is it at the
end you know we talked about this burden
of medical care this burden financial
burden of medical care cost a lot of
45:47
money who is paying that and the
ultimate question here is who is bearing
the risk at the end of the day to what
extent do you want to make those
responsibility for medical bills do you
want to put that on individuals to what
extent do you want to say to people it's
up to you whether you have the right job
and if you don't we know whether you can
get the right insurance and if you can't
and you have to make up the difference
and to what extent do you want to say
that society as a whole is going to pick
up that responsibility and remember
there are trade-offs to both if you do
it a former way which is the way that we
46:19
used to do it and the way the Senate
bill would would take us in then you are
leaving those individuals vulnerable the
government is smaller spending is down
and you know you have a freer market
operating if you keep the system as it
is or you move more in that direction
you keep moving towards the universal
system
well the downside is now you're putting
that burden on the taxpayers every
single person area you know eventually
is going to have to support that system
you're going to be regulating the
private and chain be telling markets how
to operate the flipside is that you know
46:49
you get to a system where it doesn't
matter if you're poor it doesn't matter
what your income is it doesn't matter
what your medical condition is you will
have access to health care and it's
basically a question at the alternate
questioners whose responsibility is this
who is going to be on the hook here if
medical care ends up costing a lot more
money than you want is it the
individuals who have individual medical
bills or as a society and that's really
what this debate is all about and if you
tuned in in about a week you'll see how
it turns out
trying to see if any more senators can
not against it all right so well I'm
47:27
checking to see we were at two senators
by the way the actual you want raw
politics here the deal is they need
fifty votes in the Senate there's two
votes next week there'll be a motion to
proceed which means they're going to
begin the debate and then there's a vote
on the bill at the end because the rules
they're using they can do this with
fifty fifty no taking only fifty votes
two senators senator Collins from Maine
and Senator Paul and Kentucky of both
already said no we are we are no votes
at all was last when I looked at my
Twitter feed before I started talking
everybody was waiting to hear from
47:57
senator capital from West Virginia who's
very worried about the impact of
Medicaid cuts on West Virginia senator
Heller from Nevada very worried about
the impact of Medicaid cuts in Nevada
and a couple others and I'm not seeing
anything about them yet so as far as I
know we are still not sure how this all
men turn out there you okay up-to-date
news actually so there you go anyway
have any questions I think did you want
to
so you kind of elaborate it really well
48:32
on what I was considered in my huge
benefit of the new Senate bill could you
perhaps the library on the motivation
with current colors you know that I that
the other people will have an
opportunity or just work in here and
families will have an opportunity to a
Bellini by not paying a service or
services they have facing in the near
future
okay so um I did to be fair I mean there
are you know - first of all because the
49:06
new bill has to go through a CBO score
and like this so many moving piece of
news I feel I should standards as
migrant I can't think it's been Emily
how that new virgin shake that has got a
couple different bells and whistles in
it literally we're also sitting there at
Lino's and I'm reading the bill I am
talking my economist friends and so we
don't know exactly
sue me it looks like what we do you know
in terms of motivation look I mean I
think now why would you me so the
question I mean if I can translate your
question they trying to show your ad
49:38
page you're moving from a system that
offers more protection overall to letter
X and that is clearly the case and then
it's for the case because you drain
money out of federal health programs and
that's simply some money shift there's
money now going to help people pay for
the medical care or through Medicaid
through assistance you will find private
insurance and also from chain you know a
shift in the healthy and the sick and
now you're reducing it so that is going
to mean less tax
so why would you do that well that money
you don't have to provide so it's just
like it is a smaller attacker I mean I
50:08
think of these parts this is if you
really want to you know I think people
who are worried about the fiscal burden
placed on the budgets are like we need
to just you know there's a we need to
cut that you know need to cut that off
are becoming there's a mentality of is
how to list or how to control I think it
is the Paul Ryan keg parties mentality a
party you know oh my god it's costing so
much money if you get a chance to limit
how much one of these programs do you
jump at it you don't care what it means
because it was relevant you know and we
can't pay for all this
50:38
so that we went over that's what am i
dealing in the philosophical one I mean
I do think if you listen and again maybe
Paul Ryan open this county records I
heard him talk about this a lot and and
I am NOT putting value differences there
is a principled argument that it's not
my responsibility that you know some
point I'm working hard and this is my
paycheck and I'm you know struggling and
why am I suddenly now you pay $3,000
mention something about the knowledge of
my shirt I can force it and you know
51:10
there's a large bed floors you really
think $7,000 and are you sure you're
better to you know you're old but you
know that would be icing motivation you
know um you know there's it's
redistribution I mean many sides this is
some people would consider this a
chronic public
they got personally
I mean fundamentally insurance is a form
of redistribution it's a form of
redistribution from healthy to sick
Rachel report and there's a lot people
51:44
just don't believe in that I don't
believe that in you know you're going to
hate the Affordable Care Act that's what
it does
Social Security does the same thing you
notice that our government programs
redistribute and the Corporal Care Act
redistributes it does so awkwardly in
many ways efficiently and in many ways
it haven't worked nearly the way the
architects intended but I think there
are people who know effective and then
you know and there's a principle I think
a very principled economic argument but
you know what government you know you
start messing with market and the
ultimate you know general welfare is
52:17
worse off and did that argument it's do
I think it's actually important I would
say this is true this can come either
way to the nine seasons always true to
think about not just the health care
system when you're thinking about a
health care system so you know again
when I talk about people were saying we
can't spend so much money on health care
you know it is a type of like if you're
spending while in health care that is
that much less it's not on other things
now whether in fact cutting the
importable care you know when they're
cutting them when I have the Affordable
Care Act means us to spend more on
education for example as a separate
52:48
question but nevertheless I mean they're
either thing we do live in a world of
limited resource so those I would think
of a principle reason I'm not going to
speculate on my Google teams life and
watch because I can't afford
this house seems like a obviously a
comment for like a political power shift
together way again that true in the
inside what would have to give for a
settlement like working so I can imagine
53:29
education I imagine - let's say I get
two ways is good by three ways to play
out so something happens something
passes then do we get to this point
where there's a little backlash to it
maybe no one else you never know how
these things go and you can you imagine
that system we know a backlash where
people who see the opposite viewpoint as
imagine Democrats taking the house in
the Senate the president in 2020 so
let's imagine it's president Bernie
54:00
Sanders or President Elizabeth Warren
majority you know House Speaker and you
know Majority Leader Schumer do they get
in you know whether you know even they
all have things that can you imagine a
situation where they get into office
imagine that where do they get I don't
know how far they get in terms of you
know creating a different system
it's hard to know I mean I might agreed
on the politics of this invented bad
politics for the Republicans right now
54:36
the calculation a lot of Republicans are
making anything and I would be very
frivolous Republicans are very much
thinking about their political futures
when Democrats to the Affordable Care
Act they were very much than a public
political future
everybody thinks about
you know the calculation Republicans are
making right now is his voting for this
bill better or worse for me including
Lee and not both I will see you in my
read on it then I'm a Republican I am
NOT been robbed or a pistol I'm better
off by name comment letting us know fail
55:07
you need to talk to them about passing a
small bill Republican most then disagree
and the reason it has degree of their
calculation is that families are
problems through on a promise and
Tenzing alienating members of their base
has a they has a bigger political cost
and passing a bill that appears to be
very unpopular and there's no way to
catch that founders won't ever get to
run favorites so I don't know where they
end up but you know I would think either
way yeah you can imagine a backlash you
55:39
know where that ends up it's so hard to
say I do think two things are different
anything that there's a lot of actually
thing about Brady or regardless of how
that's turned out about you can
seriously up single payor angle a single
parent might get to it and I say there's
two things have changed ten years ago
twenty years ago when Democrats kind of
like been on the tack you know wanted
that now we have chance to run an
experiment on this sort of public
private i grade and what do you think
it's been total failure or totally
successful even I think the most loyal
56:12
the optimists enthusiast about this what
agree it's not as you know it's not
achieving what they want
that proves help early than they fall
it's not getting worse saying they don't
would hope
so that way create more enthusiasm for
it and both politically and as policy so
you can imagine that and I ain't even
like there was a comment from a CEO that
not who I got to tell you I've
interviewed him before and he says kind
of wild and crazy things and you never
be sure that what he said when we say
smart gal by the way you know he had
56:46
someone was like well you know we do the
benefits for Medicare so maybe you know
we could be benefits for single-payer so
I made out of this other body part but
you know if they're afraid if you come
up with a single-payer system provide
insurance a lot of role right maybe like
in Medicare today people can office
private insurance you can imagine
variation bases along the way so I don't
tell me if I get more of a chance of
come swinging over to single payor
something like a critical regardless of
how this debate turned out in part
57:17
because this debate there are a lot of
people a lot of limos and Democrats who
were not thrilled with the constituted
Korbel Care Act were kind of swallowed
hard because like this is the best we
can get and we need to do this to make
it work and a lot of them are like
waiting today we made all these
compromises and we're still having these
problems I'll shoot my old kind of you
know try to shoot them move our spider
Jonathan earlier you're talking City
focus will be settled in the next few
weeks is there a chance it might not be
and we're going to be continuing to hear
57:55
this debate for months or maybe for the
midterm elections you're trying to get
any like running outdoor strange right
and like are definitely be like um guys
will be debating since forever me what
we're going to keep the day healthier
when I said so thank you guys
now that thing about that's progress is
not so clearly in fact a real lesson of
the Affordable Care Act I think we've
all learned is that this is not nearly
as settled as you think I mean I
58:25
remember when they for Care Act passed I
figured all right that's why it's over
and now we'll go back to the usual back
and forth while not really exciting this
crazy every night and you know it
but you know I mean if this ain't passes
I mean this apparently that need
Republicans aren't quite practicing in
their own calculations I think I made a
you write a maybe right passing the bill
is still delicious for a movement I
don't think they have priced into the
stock of packaging bill on the fact that
in the same way Republicans did not go
58:56
quietly way after the you know Obama
signed up name I guarantee you liberals
are going to go away Democrats are to go
away from something to bill yes maybe
like that obi-wan you strike me down any
more powerful so will be debated a lot I
do think I need there is one scenario
where if we get past this debate though
I think is really important setting is
an ally possibility which is bill fails
59:26
and you get a bipartisan very small but
not totally insignificant bill that sort
of short of the system where it's weak
throws a little money and insurance
companies cover their highest cost
people there's there's you know a fund
these extra subsidies for insurers that
they've not been getting lately and
basically maybe there's something an end
up Republicans makalah win maybe they
get more in a more aged very amazing
more flexibility to change things on the
state level and insurers they you know
59:59
how they can do three to one age rating
out maybe they go for four to one on
five and because that's the real budget
buster for many works and then we're
kind of called it a day and then we're
back to the old debate you know in the
public in the middle say should block
grant Medicare privatizing Medicare
watch for a minute made privatizing
Medicare shrinks of subsidies and
Democrats say we should have a public
option and which eventually the
single-payer system we should tell the
drug companies how much they can charge
and we back to that debate which will
kill normal which seems so nice right i
01:00:30
or did you sleep okay
so you spoke earlier about how it will
be much more difficult for people with
pre-existing conditions on insurance
what about people with current
conditions so for example someone who's
starting cancer at the time when you
wanna enjoy that whole happens there
area so that's a good question
if you have condition right now you know
make sure you count that as a
pre-existing condition right we have
what happen and so I the way these new
01:01:06
plans all work today
you lose your guaranteed access to
ensuring it lapses which is true before
by the way so you know if you have
insurance you can keep it up then your
insurance state if you for some reason
you drop insurance to lose your job you
go from being you know from ones either
various conditions that could cause it
then once you lose it you have trouble
getting it again but the flip side is
and this is so important about new asset
is that some of the changes very
probably would affect insurance policies
01:01:36
that people have even the good ones so
remember I mentioned that one of the
changes in both the House and Senate
bill is that they would loosen the
regulations on private insurance because
the way that is written any insurance
policies attentionally even an employer
Bop even the wonderful University of
Michigan college
you can see a restoration annual my time
limits so if you're someone fighting
cancer and you know it's very easy with
01:02:06
cancer no it does not take that long get
a million dollars a bill I mean quick it
doesn't have to be some rare condition
either in a system anything like that
you can find yourself in a situation
where you hit that limit and now you're
like now you're stuck and however you
say free medical care it's not only
careful to say that's not guaranteed
they have them in a hassle Senate bill
depending on how the assistance the
design work the lodges at state
discretion it depends on your employer
not ever you know in the old days lots
of people have insurance policies that
didn't have any one lifetime so it's not
01:02:39
guaranteed that well but you you both
and you know that's part of the equation
Jeremy to get it's more protection yeah
the Republican bills would mean less
protection . it would also mean much
government spending they would be less
interference in a free market . and then
the check out I mean this is just
straight-up trade-offs and that's what
it is and not for debate
they just want us speaking with us my
question pertains to overall health of
Americans I haven't been a doctor on the
topic so embarrassing that health care
reform discussions for understanding the
01:03:14
roots of poor health and you see the
protest and in this chicken is optional
in tension so we are very health in the
country yes there are a lot of reasons
for that to have actually not that much
to do with medical care the primary
determinants of health as I'm sure a lot
of people in this room could tell you
better than I could
income status where you grew up
environment medical care as it's
currently constituted has very little to
do with that that said there are you
01:03:45
know a couple ways that medical care can
improve health the first is that it
makes you more financially secure you
look like lesbian poverty level IV
poverty you're less likely to have these
problems so I'm going to kind of
indirectly like people forget that
sometimes you know anything that sort of
helps people be more economically secure
is going to make them healthier over
time you know that in addition there are
certainly the Affordable Care Act
actually had a lot of money relatively
speaking
plowed into sort of public health
intervention parks now I won't say the
01:04:16
Senate bill does throw a lot more money
at one particular College which is
treatment of opioid addiction which is a
health problem obviously now you're
talking to Doug doesn't love the dollars
to sort of a lot this sort of a gift
here and then there's a tape here and
the net was only what less money and to
but still do that in your credit we're
do one other thing is that there's a lot
of innovative medicine out there that
really does try to focus on making
people healthier and the Affordable Care
01:04:47
Act indirectly subsidizes a lot of us
I'm one example just cuz I happen to be
active a story coming on this three
it's already raised about to expose up
in Flint and actually to Memphis a lot
of you know the story of the Flint water
crisis not everyone knows that you know
there's a sort of key moment in that
they don't know what's here no Mona
these are right right okay so you guys
know we're okay so this is a famous one
01:05:19
of the two people who like helped expose
when medical rights and water crisis and
that's what she had data showing high
blood levels among kids emphasis label
where'd that come from in the hospital
record is out curly medicals are why it
is only Medical Center have all this
data on life because Medicaid the eat
something called the epsdt program
mandates testing and pays for testing
long images of lead could let is a very
big has low-income community probably a
01:05:50
lot I mean I remember he must walk in
with like the fingers and go something
to houses so less pain to help you out
so when you buy how to get lead
inspection you know if you're making
thirteen thousand dollars a year you're
paying nothing for an apartment I
promise you this good chance your
landlord didn't do the legislation so
you know Medicaid mandates that and with
it doesn't always work mandate like
everything else in Medicaid like to do
it they don't but that data was what
eventually forced everyone to say oh my
gosh yes we have less than one because
you member do the White Mountain motor
01:06:19
staying compliant so but I went up to
deck says one way Medicaid health health
and I kind of indirect way you know
whatever the other when I went out of
the clinic curly has now a new downtown
clinic which is beautiful by the way you
guys all been to Quinn
it's a gorgeous new building and they
actually shook the farmers market one
and it has a really cool program where
your kid you go to early Children's
Center when you leave you get a food
prescription a $10 voucher to take next
01:06:50
door the farmers market you can only use
it on fresh produce can it on the claim
that awesome you know you go there you
buy produce whatever and I easily know
it's an evil gimmick and partly just say
they want to pay they're trying to make
coming into the clinic more interesting
kind of pleasant experience or what some
people come but I think part of this is
hey guess what you know you know what I
always easily get fresh you know produce
diet aren't always great here you going
to build these houses down there setting
that small fee that actually makes a
difference now but I think a clinic all
over the country I'm always impressed
01:07:22
and these clinics that serve low-income
populations uninsured they have the
least resources and some are do the most
creative things and you're just always
made social workers counselors
nutritionist and with the Affordable
Care Act extra money they got you
there's some work you cover a lot of
these places are doing a lot more of
that and you know you know about the
social determinants of health you know
about all this room factors that go into
like something has you know having for
example counselors who work with
families in crisis that actually can do
01:07:54
a lot to improve health right I mean no
and I had seen that in sandals Cleveland
and Orleans
I made them your own couple months ago
at a clinic there at like you think of
me
that's like eating ground zero for a
life nutrition obesity you know that
anybody will be banned by all walking
like a new diet crisis I live but um you
know this clinic is like they're really
investing all its money in nutrition and
counseling like that cooking classes and
01:08:27
knows how much this has actually worked
they go study that septum to me those
are really promising ways that you can
help it and I know I think there's
probably a lot of interest in doing more
of that I mean you know and by part in a
community clinics actually or something
that has traditionally promised
bipartisan support so get if you get
passes for fuel debate in an ideal world
you would imaginable where does more
money I think if you have to set sorry
off now you're way past times a hundred
next day
[Applause]